Chaves II vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaves II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHA
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 3
GON
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 3
VSC
12%
17%
71%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
TAI
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
OSL
2 - 0
CHA
27%
22%
51%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
FAF
14%
23%
63%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 0
MON
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 1
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
4 - 2
MIR
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +3 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MER
2 - 2
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |