Cup Bulgaria 1/16
Global 4-2
Chavdar Etropole vs Silistra 2009 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chavdar Etropole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SVE
0 - 0
CHA
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 1
RAK
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SVA
1 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
SIL
1 - 1
CHA
14%
20%
66%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
BAN
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Silistra 2009
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
SIL
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SIL
1 - 0
PRO
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HIM
0 - 1
SIL
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
SIL
1 - 1
CHA
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SIL
1 - 1
SEP
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |