Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
7º
3º
17
6º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 15 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 14 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 13 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 13 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 12 |
7º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 11 |
8º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 11 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chavdar Etropole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
VIH
2 - 0
CHA
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
KOS
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 0
CHA
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
CSK
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
SOF
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 1
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 0
SEP
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SEP
0 - 1
SLI
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
SEP
73%
17%
9%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 1
CSK
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +2 |