Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chavdar Etropole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
HEB
1 - 3
CHA
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIR
0 - 2
CHA
20%
26%
54%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
BOT
81%
14%
6%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PIR
2 - 1
CHA
9%
19%
72%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 0
CHA
9%
19%
73%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
SEP
1 - 0
BEL
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SVO
1 - 1
SEP
13%
21%
66%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SEP
0 - 0
STR
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 3
SEP
8%
17%
75%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SEP
1 - 1
VEL
79%
15%
6%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |