Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chavdar Etropole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 1
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
SPO
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
PIR
1 - 0
CHA
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
ETA
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 1
BOT
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MAL
2 - 2
SEP
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
4 - 0
SEP
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SEP
1 - 0
CHA
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ETA
0 - 0
SEP
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |