Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chavdar Etropole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
CHA
4 - 1
BAL
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
SPO
4 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
VID
2 - 1
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
RIL
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
AKA
0 - 3
CHA
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 1
SEP
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
SEP
2 - 0
MIP
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
PIR
0 - 1
SEP
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SEP
0 - 3
FKV
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 2
SEP
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |