Chavdar Byala vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chavdar Byala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PIR
2 - 0
CHA
56%
26%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
SPO
25%
27%
47%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
SLI
3 - 2
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 1
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 3
BDI
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 0
MAL
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AKA
1 - 1
SEP
52%
25%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
SEP
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
PIR
1 - 0
SEP
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SEP
0 - 0
SPO
32%
28%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |