Chauvigny vs Guéret analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
9º
3º
14
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauvigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
GDB
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BAY
1 - 2
CHA
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 1
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NIO
2 - 1
CHA
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PED
0 - 1
CHA
29%
22%
48%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Guéret
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GUE
1 - 1
PED
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LEG
2 - 1
GUE
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
GUE
0 - 2
FCL
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 1
GUE
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GUE
0 - 2
LES
38%
24%
39%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |