Chauray vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+243%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
10º
40
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LPS
2 - 0
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
ACG
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NIO
0 - 1
CHA
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
ASC
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LSD
1 - 0
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 2
FON
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
USS
2 - 1
SPG
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 5
LAV
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 3
SPG
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
SPG
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |