Chauray vs ESOFV La Roche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
1º
30
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
56% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ANG
2 - 0
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 1
USS
24%
25%
51%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 0
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
LAV
22%
24%
55%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
ESOFV La Roche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ESO
1 - 2
NAN
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
ESO
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ESO
1 - 1
FON
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPG
4 - 0
ESO
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ESO
1 - 3
RCS
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |