Chaumont vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
59.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chaumont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OPP
9 - 1
CHA
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 6
RES
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FLO
6 - 0
CHA
11%
16%
74%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
LOR
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EBE
2 - 1
CHA
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MES
7 - 2
ERE
72%
15%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
5 - 2
MES
56%
20%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MES
2 - 2
EBE
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MES
4 - 1
VAU
52%
20%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 3
MES
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |