Châteauroux U19 vs Avranches U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
12º
11º
35
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauroux U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
CON
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BOR
0 - 1
CHA
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 4
LOR
29%
21%
50%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ANG
3 - 4
CHA
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
STA
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 2
BOR
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 2
AVR
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 0
ANG
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
AVR
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
REN
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |