Châteauroux II vs US Cosne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
13º
10º
43
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
74.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ROM
1 - 2
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
VIE
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 1
CHA
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 2
ORL
32%
25%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 0
CHA
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
US Cosne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VIE
3 - 3
UNI
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 3
ORL
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CSL
2 - 2
UNI
20%
20%
60%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 0
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SBM
0 - 1
UNI
26%
22%
53%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |