Châteauroux II vs FCO Tourangeau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
13º
10º
31
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
74.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
UNI
25%
22%
54%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ROM
1 - 2
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
VIE
17%
20%
63%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 1
CHA
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FCO Tourangeau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
TOU
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
TOU
0 - 0
VIE
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ORL
3 - 2
TOU
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TOU
2 - 2
CSL
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
TOU
1 - 2
ROM
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |