Châteauroux II vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
POI
2 - 4
CHA
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
BLO
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAU
0 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
0 - 0
LPS
33%
27%
40%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 0
STG
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
THO
0 - 2
BOU
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ANG
0 - 0
THO
45%
25%
29%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
STP
2 - 1
THO
59%
23%
19%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
THO
5 - 2
POI
27%
26%
47%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +5 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
THO
1 - 1
SAU
30%
26%
45%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |