Châteauroux II vs Chauvigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
13º
10º
30
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
74.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 0
VSF
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SBM
1 - 2
CHA
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
3 - 0
TOU
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
UNI
25%
22%
54%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Chauvigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SBM
2 - 0
CHA
31%
22%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 2
MON
24%
26%
49%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ROM
6 - 1
CHA
71%
18%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
CHA
16%
22%
61%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 3
CHA
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |