Châteauroux II vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LRO
3 - 1
CHA
49%
22%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 2
USS
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHA
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
CHA
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
STP
2 - 2
CHA
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BOU
0 - 3
CHA
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AVO
0 - 0
BOU
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
BOU
1 - 0
LMU
20%
25%
55%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +3 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 1
BOU
39%
26%
36%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LPS
1 - 1
BOU
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |