Châteauroux II vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
POI
1 - 1
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VIE
0 - 0
CHA
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
TOU
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 0
CHA
64%
22%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 1
TOU
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SAU
1 - 0
BOU
67%
20%
13%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
BOU
1 - 2
NAN
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ANG
3 - 1
BOU
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 3
USS
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |