Châteauneuf-sur-Loire vs Avoine OCC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
13º
12º
24
8º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
VSF
0 - 2
CSL
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CSL
1 - 0
TOU
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 4
BLO
9%
16%
76%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 0
CSL
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 1
VIE
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Avoine OCC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
AVO
1 - 1
CHA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SBM
1 - 1
AVO
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AVO
1 - 1
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ROM
3 - 1
AVO
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AVO
0 - 0
CHA
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |