Chasetown vs Shepshed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 1
CHA
25%
26%
49%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NUN
1 - 0
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 5
CHA
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
BED
68%
20%
11%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 0
ARL
76%
17%
7%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SHE
0 - 4
MIC
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
RUS
1 - 0
SHE
58%
22%
19%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
SHE
1 - 1
SHE
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SHE
1 - 2
LOU
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
QUO
3 - 5
SHE
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |