Chasetown vs Romulus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 1
CHA
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPA
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
5 - 0
NOR
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
CHA
4 - 1
COA
17%
21%
62%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +5 |
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 1
ROM
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 3
ROM
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 0
DAV
38%
26%
37%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
ROM
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ROM
1 - 2
LIN
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |