FA Cup 1/128
Global 1-5
Chasetown vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
SCU
4 - 2
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
OLD
4 - 3
BRI
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
OLD
1 - 1
CUM
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
SWA
0 - 0
OLD
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
OLD
0 - 1
BRE
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |