Chasetown vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
RUG
67%
18%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
STA
2 - 1
CHA
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
5 - 0
LOU
80%
14%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 3
CHA
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHA
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
ROM
2 - 2
GRE
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 2
GRE
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 3
SLA
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
BED
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
3 - 0
GRE
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |