Chasetown vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
9 - 1
LOU
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SLA
1 - 1
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
BEL
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
RUG
2 - 3
CHA
39%
26%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 3
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 3
GRE
31%
23%
47%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 4
DAV
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 0
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 1
RFC
31%
26%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |