Chasetown vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
NEW
4 - 0
CHA
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
STA
27%
24%
50%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RAI
0 - 2
CHA
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SHE
2 - 2
CHA
66%
18%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
6 - 1
KID
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAR
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 4
BRI
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
HUC
1 - 3
GRE
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
RAI
45%
24%
30%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
NOR
19%
23%
59%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +4 |