Chasetown vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SCA
1 - 0
CHA
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
BED
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GOO
3 - 1
CHA
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
5 - 2
CHA
44%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
LOU
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GOO
3 - 1
BED
43%
24%
34%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GOO
3 - 1
CHA
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +3 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
HAL
3 - 2
GOO
85%
11%
5%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
GOO
1 - 3
CAR
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GOO
0 - 3
LEE
12%
18%
70%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |