Chasetown vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
ROT
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
CHA
25%
27%
49%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
NUN
1 - 1
CHA
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 0
WOD
76%
17%
8%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
STO
0 - 2
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
YEL
1 - 1
LEI
46%
25%
28%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
YEL
1 - 1
STO
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ATH
2 - 0
YEL
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 2
YEL
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 3
YEL
22%
23%
54%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |