Chartres vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
14º
13º
34
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 46 |
5º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 47.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chartres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SAI
0 - 0
CHA
30%
24%
45%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
LMU
1 - 3
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
GRA
5 - 1
CHA
33%
25%
43%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
VAN
65%
20%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 2
CHA
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 2
EVR
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FCR
2 - 1
GUI
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 2
ROM
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 4
GUI
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
VAN
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |