Charnock Richard vs Squires Gate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charnock Richard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
SQU
1 - 1
CHA
14%
17%
69%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHA
6%
11%
83%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
PRH
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
IRL
2 - 1
CHA
14%
17%
70%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 3
CON
47%
21%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +4 |
Matches
Squires Gate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
SQU
1 - 1
CHA
14%
17%
69%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SQU
0 - 2
PFC
92%
6%
2%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
SQU
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SQU
1 - 2
LBR
36%
22%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
BUR
5 - 1
SQU
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |