Charnock Richard vs Lower Breck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charnock Richard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BUR
3 - 2
CHA
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
WES
2 - 2
CHA
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 2
CHA
42%
22%
37%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
WYT
24%
20%
56%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
IOM
2 - 1
CHA
11%
15%
75%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lower Breck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LBR
3 - 1
SQU
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
LBR
3 - 3
PAD
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
LBR
2 - 2
AFC
27%
22%
51%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
PRH
1 - 0
LBR
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BCF
3 - 1
LBR
90%
8%
2%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | -1 |