Chapulineros de Oaxaca vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RCU
2 - 3
CHA
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
ATM
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
AME
2 - 1
CHA
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 1
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
IPC
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ORI
3 - 0
POL
71%
19%
11%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PDC
1 - 2
ORI
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ORI
3 - 1
CAN
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2017 |
PUM
2 - 1
ORI
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ORI
0 - 0
IRA
22%
24%
53%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |