Chapecoense vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVA
39%
24%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CRZ
4 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
CRI
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
OES
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
3 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
GOI
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
CRA
63%
20%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |