Chapecoense vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
CHA
52%
27%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
OPE
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CRB
2 - 1
CHA
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
BAH
26%
30%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
CHA
40%
30%
30%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 0
PPE
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 2
CRB
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
4 - 3
TOM
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 0
NOV
43%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
TOM
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |