Chapecoense vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
COL
1 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
DES
0 - 0
CHA
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
LON
3 - 1
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 1978 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRA
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
ATP
1 - 1
CHA
59%
23%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
CAL
1 - 0
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAR
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
COL
0 - 1
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
SAO
1 - 2
DES
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |