Chapecoense vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SCI
0 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHA
22%
27%
52%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
JEC
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CRI
3 - 2
CHA
26%
27%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHA
22%
27%
52%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
ATP
21%
26%
54%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 0
EST
70%
20%
10%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ATP
2 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |