Chapecoense vs Paraná analysis

Chapecoense Paraná
78 ELO 64
-5% Tilt -14.8%
567º General ELO ranking 4554º
39º Country ELO ranking 149º
ELO win probability
64.4%
Chapecoense
21.4%
Draw
14.3%
Paraná

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
Chapecoense
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.3%
Win probability
Paraná
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Chapecoense
Paraná
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2016
SCI
Internacional
0 - 0
Chapecoense
CHA
65%
21%
14%
78 83 5 0
12 May. 2016
PAR
Paraná
2 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
22%
27%
52%
78 65 13 0
08 May. 2016
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 1
Joinville
JEC
60%
23%
17%
78 70 8 0
01 May. 2016
JEC
Joinville
0 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
30%
28%
42%
78 71 7 0
24 Apr. 2016
CRI
Criciúma
3 - 2
Chapecoense
CHA
26%
27%
48%
78 65 13 0

Matches

Paraná
Paraná
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2016
BRA
Brasil de Pelotas
2 - 0
Paraná
PAR
26%
28%
46%
66 57 9 0
12 May. 2016
PAR
Paraná
2 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
22%
27%
52%
65 78 13 +1
24 Apr. 2016
PAR
Paraná
1 - 0
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
21%
26%
54%
63 77 14 +2
22 Apr. 2016
PAR
Paraná
2 - 0
Estanciano
EST
70%
20%
10%
63 36 27 0
16 Apr. 2016
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
2 - 1
Paraná
PAR
64%
22%
14%
64 77 13 -1