Chapecoense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
3 - 2
CRB
56%
27%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 2
CHA
27%
29%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 1
CHA
28%
29%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 0
CUI
52%
28%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
CHA
29%
29%
43%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
NAU
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FFL
2 - 0
NAU
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 0
GUA
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAU
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |