Chapecoense vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
HER
2 - 1
CHA
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 2
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MAC
2 - 0
CHA
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 1
AAC
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AAC
1 - 2
CHA
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MET
2 - 0
JUV
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
MET
1 - 2
AVA
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MET
3 - 1
BRU
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
HER
1 - 4
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MET
1 - 1
JEC
33%
25%
41%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |