Chapecoense vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
OES
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CHA
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 0
CHA
41%
27%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 1
MAD
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAC
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
2 - 0
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
TUP
51%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |