Chapecoense vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
20.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
+2
25%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
13.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TUB
3 - 3
CHA
14%
22%
63%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 2
CHA
16%
23%
61%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
CHA
8%
17%
75%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
83%
14%
3%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
JEC
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 0
HER
80%
15%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
BRU
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
TUB
2 - 2
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |