Chapecoense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
CRZ
0 - 2
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
CRZ
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
ZUL
60%
21%
18%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
PAL
25%
25%
51%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 2
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SPO
4 - 3
GRE
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
GRE
4 - 0
ZAM
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ATP
0 - 2
GRE
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |