Chapecoense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
VAS
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
CRZ
0 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAO
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
GRE
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
CRZ
35%
28%
38%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
GRE
22%
28%
50%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAL
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
ATP
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |