Chapecoense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
SCI
32%
29%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
ATP
40%
29%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 0
CHA
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHA
29%
30%
42%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 2
PAL
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
CUE
0 - 2
FLU
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ATP
3 - 1
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |