Chapecoense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
44%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
VIT
0 - 0
CHA
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
FFL
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATM
27%
27%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
FLA
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
CHA
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
FLU
2 - 5
ARN
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 1
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 3
FLU
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
FLU
2 - 0
GOI
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |