Chapecoense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
CRZ
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
ROM
4 - 1
CHA
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 0
CHA
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
COR
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
PAL
0 - 2
CHA
68%
19%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAR
74%
18%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 0
ATP
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |