Chapecoense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
CUI
1 - 0
CHA
13%
21%
66%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 2
CHA
30%
28%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
SCI
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ATM
3 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
PAL
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
FFL
4 - 2
FLA
31%
29%
40%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 1
GRE
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
FLA
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
ATP
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
FLA
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |