Chapecoense vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
19%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BOT
3 - 0
CHA
17%
27%
56%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
BRA
60%
26%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
PAR
63%
25%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
AMF
2 - 2
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
NAU
65%
24%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
FFL
0 - 0
CSA
38%
30%
32%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
OES
2 - 1
FFL
31%
29%
39%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
FFL
2 - 0
AVA
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 2
FFL
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
FFL
1 - 2
AMF
25%
31%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |