Chapecoense vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 2
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
77%
16%
6%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
INT
80%
15%
6%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 2
INT
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FFL
0 - 2
CRI
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
FFL
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
FFL
2 - 1
ATM
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |