Chapecoense vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
MET
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
INT
2 - 5
CHA
10%
22%
68%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
INT
76%
16%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 0
CRI
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
PRI
2 - 2
FFL
9%
20%
71%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
MET
0 - 4
FFL
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 0
JEC
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |