Chapecoense vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
30%
27%
44%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRI
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 3
CHA
11%
22%
67%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CHA
5 - 0
INT
79%
15%
7%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GOI
4 - 2
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 2
FFL
10%
20%
70%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
INT
84%
11%
5%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 3
FFL
16%
23%
61%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FFL
1 - 0
HER
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
SCI
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |