Chapecoense vs EC Próspera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
JEC
4 - 4
CHA
43%
23%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 2
CHA
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 1
CHA
46%
22%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 0
BRU
51%
23%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
EC Próspera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
FFL
1 - 3
ECP
83%
13%
4%
|
44 | 80 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
ECP
0 - 2
HER
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ECP
1 - 1
AVA
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
MET
4 - 1
ECP
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ECP
3 - 0
JEC
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +2 |